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Economic Outlook Roundtable: What Yorkshire’s Finance Leaders Are Saying About Growth, Hiring and the Road Ahead

Senior finance professionals from across Yorkshire recently joined Sharp Consultancy for an exclusive roundtable discussion featuring an economic update from Paul Mount, Economist and Deputy Agent at the Bank of England. The session provided a timely, in-depth look at the UK’s economic landscape — followed by a candid conversation about what businesses are experiencing on the ground.The picture that emerged was one of cautious realism. While official forecasts point to easing inflation and a gradual return to stability, many organisations across the region continue to navigate weak demand, rising labour costs, tightening legislation and stalled investment projects. Yet despite these pressures, there remains a strong sense of resilience and adaptability — qualities that have long defined the Yorkshire business community. At Sharp Consultancy, our specialist finance and accountancy teams speak daily to employers and professionals across commerce, industry, public practice and the not-for-profit sector. What we heard in this session closely aligns with the insight we gather from clients and candidates across the region. Below, we explore the key themes shaping business confidence, recruitment activity and the outlook for 2026. ​Inflation Is Easing, but Confidence Has Yet to Follow The Bank of England outlined its latest central forecast: Inflation expected to gradually return toward the 2% target. GDP growth set to remain modest but stable through 2026. Interest rates anticipated to settle around 3.5% based on market expectations. Unemployment projected to hold near 5%. However, the sentiment in the room was clear: despite improving headline numbers, confidence across most sectors remains fragile. Many organisations described the environment as “flat” — not contracting, but unable to capitalise fully on opportunities due to economic uncertainty. Sharp Consultancy continues to see this play out: businesses are stabilising rather than expanding, focusing on cash management, operational efficiency and carefully controlled hiring. ​Labour Costs Continue to Reshape Workforce Strategies Wage pressures were a recurring theme throughout the discussion. Employers highlighted: Significant increases to the National Living Wage. Higher employer National Insurance contributions. Expected future changes to minimum wage equalisation for younger workers. Rising cost and complexity associated with apprenticeships. These factors are pushing up costs at every level of the workforce and reshaping recruitment behaviours. Across Sharp Consultancy’s accountancy and finance divisions, we are seeing: Strong demand for replacement hires where roles are business critical. Lower volumes of growth hires, particularly in commercial and project-focused appointments. Clients increasingly prioritising candidates who bring breadth, adaptability and long-term value. ​Construction & Infrastructure: Capacity Under Pressure Leaders from the construction sector painted a challenging picture — one mirrored by many Sharp Consultancy clients operating across the wider built environment. Key themes included: Planning delays of 9–10 months, particularly related to the Building Safety Act. Businesses holding on to workforce capacity despite reduced margins — a strategy that may not be sustainable in 2026. Difficulty justifying new capital expenditure under IFRS when future cashflows are uncertain. Concerns that smaller subcontractors may not withstand prolonged delays or reduced demand.Yet, attendees also highlighted that construction could become a catalyst for economic recovery — provided policy reform and planning improvements unlock stalled projects. ​Manufacturing: Rising Costs and Shifting OperationsLeaders representing manufacturing shared concerns around: Rising energy and operational costs. Increased frequency of site closures and offshoring. Significant challenges in attracting engineering and technical talent. Early signs of contraction in several sub-sectors, with aerospace a notable exception. These pressures reinforce the growing importance of finance leaders who can model scenarios, manage volatility and guide long-term planning — roles Sharp Consultancy continues to support across the manufacturing landscape. ​Charity & Public Sector Organisations Facing Acute Strain For organisations reliant on local authority funding, the challenges are particularly stark. Attendees reported: Government and council funding caps. Rising NI, wage costs and VAT changes adding millions to annual budgets. Increasingly complex consultation requirements under forthcoming employment legislation. The likelihood of significant cuts to the frontline services in the months ahead.Sharp Consultancy’s continues to work closely with organisations navigating these pressures, supporting clients through restructuring, recruitment challenges and financial planning needs. ​​​Recruitment Outlook: Stability Over Expansion Across sectors, the message was consistent: 2026 is expected to be cautious, steady and focused on maintaining capability rather than expanding headcount. Attendees forecast: Workforce levels remaining broadly flat. Hiring driven by essential replacement roles. Transformation, M&A and large-scale project hiring likely to remain subdued. Improved recruitment confidence only once interest rates and policy direction stabilise. For employers, this means sharper competition for high-quality finance talent — an area where Sharp Consultancy’s specialist teams continue to provide targeted, market-led support. ​What Comes Next? A Slow but Steady Rebuild Despite the challenges discussed, the roundtable ended on a constructive note. Many leaders believe that once interest rates settle and stalled investment begins to move, the region could see a more meaningful upturn — potentially from 2026 onwards. Yorkshire businesses have proven time and again that they are resourceful, resilient and ready to adapt. Sharp Consultancy remains committed to supporting them through every stage — whether stabilising teams, recruiting future leaders, or navigating the next phase of growth. If you’d like to understand what these economic trends mean for your business or team, speak to our specialist consultants for a confidential market discussion. ​Contacts Us​

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​WHY GETTING RECRUITMENT RIGHT IS SO IMPORTANT – AND NOW MORE THAN EVER!

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When looking to recruit a new member to the team, it is generally accepted that there is an element of risk involved. Making the wrong decision can have a significant impact on an organisation and the affects of a bad hire can run much deeper than simply having to restart the recruitment process.

As businesses continue to navigate the challenges COVID-19 throws their way, there is increased emphasis on ensuring that the right recruitment decisions are taken, with a wrong move likely to have a significant financial impact as well as a downturn in individual, department and company performance.

According to a report from the Recruitment & Employment Confederation (REC) , over a third of companies don’t believe recruiting a wrong hire will cost them anything at all. The reality is there are a number of costs - including productivity costs incurred through not having somebody in place, management costs and training costs – and having to repeat the recruitment process to rectify a poor appointment will see those costs double or even triple. The same report calculated that a poor hire at mid-manager level with a salary of £42,000 can end up costing a business over £132,000.

Whilst business grapple with the shifting sands of the current climate, many may find themselves attempting to handle recruitment in-house without truly being in the position of being able to dedicate the time and resource to ensuring the process is robust and will stand up to many pitfalls and obstacles that are likely to be encountered along the way.

There is a widespread view – fuelled by the on-going reports of rising unemployment as the effects of the pandemic take hold – that the job market is awash with a wealth of potential candidates crying out for opportunities with employers able to simply take their pick. The reality, however, is somewhat different.

Whilst the current situation is indeed having a devastating effect in certain areas, these effects are not widespread in the way they were during the banking crisis of 2007 with several industry sectors relatively unaffected or in some cases - such as logistics and food manufacture – positively booming. Combined with Government support in the shape of the furlough scheme, the considerable efforts made by businesses to retain their staff and employees adopting a risk adverse approach to new employment opportunities means that there’s little likelihood of organisations being able to bring someone onboard with an easy quick win.

Understandably, employers do not want to make a mistake; however this can see them limit themselves in their decision making and only consider ‘obvious’ selection criteria and restrict their talent pool as they seek to recruit like-for-like candidates who have previously been employed in a similar sector or competitor company.

A decision that is based upon ticking off a wish list of ‘safe’ boxes, however, is unlikely to result in identifying the best overall choice as you neglect to drill down and examine the essential requirements of the role to source individuals that will make a real difference to an organisation. An experienced recruitment practitioner will, with the benefit of their experience, ability to reach into the market and draw out candidates that may not currently be actively seeking new opportunities and having the time to dedicate to the process, be able to tease out a far more widespread range of critical factors - attitude, aptitude, culture fit – as well as a person’s knowledge and expertise, upon which to determine a robust, high quality short list.

One of the key outcomes of COVID-19 has been the increased volume of interviews taking place on platforms such as Zoom or Microsoft Teams. For those not involved in recruitment on a day-to-day basis, this in itself can be a steep learning curve that needs to be quickly navigated; even after almost of year of doing business ‘online’, whilst they may be well versed in utilising such platforms, the ability to confidently assess those qualities that you would normally rely heavily upon face-to-face interaction to determine – body language, expression, engagement – can be a new experience and one which takes time to master.

The cost of an incorrect recruitment decision can be considerable; whilst the money spent on training, for example, can be measurable there are many more costs which are not as easy to quantify. The impact of a bad hire on staff morale, productivity levels, output quality, client relationships and business reputation are easily overlooked but can have more wide reaching and long term consequences that are not as straight-forward to rectify by simply making an alternative appointment.

Sharp Consultancy specialises in the recruitment and executive search of finance and accountancy professionals. With offices in Leeds and Sheffield our highly experienced team of consultants recruit for temporary, interim and permanent roles across the full spectrum of positions throughout Yorkshire and beyond. CONTACT US today and speak to a member of our team about your recruitment needs or next career move.