IT’S NOT OVER TILL IT’S OVER!

Economic Outlook Roundtable: What Yorkshire’s Finance Leaders Are Saying About Growth, Hiring and the Road Ahead

Senior finance professionals from across Yorkshire recently joined Sharp Consultancy for an exclusive roundtable discussion featuring an economic update from Paul Mount, Economist and Deputy Agent at the Bank of England. The session provided a timely, in-depth look at the UK’s economic landscape — followed by a candid conversation about what businesses are experiencing on the ground.The picture that emerged was one of cautious realism. While official forecasts point to easing inflation and a gradual return to stability, many organisations across the region continue to navigate weak demand, rising labour costs, tightening legislation and stalled investment projects. Yet despite these pressures, there remains a strong sense of resilience and adaptability — qualities that have long defined the Yorkshire business community. At Sharp Consultancy, our specialist finance and accountancy teams speak daily to employers and professionals across commerce, industry, public practice and the not-for-profit sector. What we heard in this session closely aligns with the insight we gather from clients and candidates across the region. Below, we explore the key themes shaping business confidence, recruitment activity and the outlook for 2026. Inflation Is Easing, but Confidence Has Yet to Follow The Bank of England outlined its latest central forecast: Inflation expected to gradually return toward the 2% target. GDP growth set to remain modest but stable through 2026. Interest rates anticipated to settle around 3.5% based on market expectations. Unemployment projected to hold near 5%. However, the sentiment in the room was clear: despite improving headline numbers, confidence across most sectors remains fragile. Many organisations described the environment as “flat” — not contracting, but unable to capitalise fully on opportunities due to economic uncertainty. Sharp Consultancy continues to see this play out: businesses are stabilising rather than expanding, focusing on cash management, operational efficiency and carefully controlled hiring. Labour Costs Continue to Reshape Workforce Strategies Wage pressures were a recurring theme throughout the discussion. Employers highlighted: Significant increases to the National Living Wage. Higher employer National Insurance contributions. Expected future changes to minimum wage equalisation for younger workers. Rising cost and complexity associated with apprenticeships. These factors are pushing up costs at every level of the workforce and reshaping recruitment behaviours. Across Sharp Consultancy’s accountancy and finance divisions, we are seeing: Strong demand for replacement hires where roles are business critical. Lower volumes of growth hires, particularly in commercial and project-focused appointments. Clients increasingly prioritising candidates who bring breadth, adaptability and long-term value. Construction & Infrastructure: Capacity Under Pressure Leaders from the construction sector painted a challenging picture — one mirrored by many Sharp Consultancy clients operating across the wider built environment. Key themes included: Planning delays of 9–10 months, particularly related to the Building Safety Act. Businesses holding on to workforce capacity despite reduced margins — a strategy that may not be sustainable in 2026. Difficulty justifying new capital expenditure under IFRS when future cashflows are uncertain. Concerns that smaller subcontractors may not withstand prolonged delays or reduced demand.Yet, attendees also highlighted that construction could become a catalyst for economic recovery — provided policy reform and planning improvements unlock stalled projects. Manufacturing: Rising Costs and Shifting OperationsLeaders representing manufacturing shared concerns around: Rising energy and operational costs. Increased frequency of site closures and offshoring. Significant challenges in attracting engineering and technical talent. Early signs of contraction in several sub-sectors, with aerospace a notable exception. These pressures reinforce the growing importance of finance leaders who can model scenarios, manage volatility and guide long-term planning — roles Sharp Consultancy continues to support across the manufacturing landscape. Charity & Public Sector Organisations Facing Acute Strain For organisations reliant on local authority funding, the challenges are particularly stark. Attendees reported: Government and council funding caps. Rising NI, wage costs and VAT changes adding millions to annual budgets. Increasingly complex consultation requirements under forthcoming employment legislation. The likelihood of significant cuts to the frontline services in the months ahead.Sharp Consultancy’s continues to work closely with organisations navigating these pressures, supporting clients through restructuring, recruitment challenges and financial planning needs. Recruitment Outlook: Stability Over Expansion Across sectors, the message was consistent: 2026 is expected to be cautious, steady and focused on maintaining capability rather than expanding headcount. Attendees forecast: Workforce levels remaining broadly flat. Hiring driven by essential replacement roles. Transformation, M&A and large-scale project hiring likely to remain subdued. Improved recruitment confidence only once interest rates and policy direction stabilise. For employers, this means sharper competition for high-quality finance talent — an area where Sharp Consultancy’s specialist teams continue to provide targeted, market-led support. What Comes Next? A Slow but Steady Rebuild Despite the challenges discussed, the roundtable ended on a constructive note. Many leaders believe that once interest rates settle and stalled investment begins to move, the region could see a more meaningful upturn — potentially from 2026 onwards. Yorkshire businesses have proven time and again that they are resourceful, resilient and ready to adapt. Sharp Consultancy remains committed to supporting them through every stage — whether stabilising teams, recruiting future leaders, or navigating the next phase of growth. If you’d like to understand what these economic trends mean for your business or team, speak to our specialist consultants for a confidential market discussion. Contacts Us

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Those of you who have known me for some time might be surprised to read that this is my first comment piece of 2021. Normally, I would be out of the trap like a rabbit during the first days of January with uplifting and inspiring words to share on how ‘new year brings new opportunities in your career’ and there’s ‘no better time to look ahead and shape the team around you for success’.

This year, however, has got off to somewhat of a different start.

I began 2021 much like I do every year. Phone calls to clients and candidates, exchanging pleasantries about the festive break, sending best wishes for the coming year and then moving on to discuss business. But during those early days of January, each conversation followed what was to become a very familiar path.

“So how are things?” I’d ask, to which I was met with, “We’re not really sure.”

I’d had comparable conversations with many of these same people pre-Christmas and the contrast in responses and mood could not be more stark. Then, there was a collective feeling that, let’s face it, 2020 had been – to put it politely – pretty rubbish all round; but as the end of the year approached there was a sense of optimism, the mood was decidedly upbeat, and you felt that a corner was very much about to be turned – “we just need to get through these next few weeks and 2021 will be a new start” (or words in a similar vein).

But then the hammer blow came – tucked into that week between Christmas and New Year when you are never quite sure what day of the week it is – that we were to be plunged back into a national lockdown.

Now you might say that this was not completely unexpected. In fact, you might argue that after the introduction of the tier system, the four week lockdown in November and the last-minute changes to relaxing the rules over the festive period, it was very much on the cards and was, by the majority of people, entirely expected. But despite all of signs that it was coming, it certainly knocked the wind out of a lot of peoples’ sails.

So why was that when we have effectively been living and working under enforced restrictions in some form or another for well over nine months now? The more people that I engaged with, the more apparent the answer became.

It was clear that nobody expected that this would all be done and dusted, as if the chimes from Big Ben would signal the time for COVID-19 to leave the party. But there was something about the shift from 2020 to 2021 that had given people something to hold onto as the end of the year approached, and that, come the new year, things could be and would be different. It was what had driven them on through those final weeks – possibly why for some the November lockdown was close to, as things currently stand, business as usual – as they drew on their last reserves of resilience to see out 2020 and be ready to face 2021 with renewed focus and determination.

And whilst for many, little changed from one day to the next following the lockdown announcement as they were already operating under some degree of restrictions, the collective psyche that we were leaving the rollercoaster of 2020 behind and turning a new page/making a fresh start/opening a new chapter (insert your own favourite cliché as you wish) which had helped people get through the final few weeks of the year had been whipped away overnight.

For many, the news that 2021 was starting with more of the same, took several weeks of mental adjustment whilst they got to grips with the situation, regrouped and reset their priorities. However the last week or so has seen the tide start to turn and my most recent conversations with those that I spoke with at the beginning of the year have been peppered with much more of the resolve and fight that will ensure that we emerge from this.

Any runners amongst you will have no doubt said at some point that the final miles of any race can be the hardest. It seems that there are still a few more miles of this particular race to be run – but we should all remind ourselves that we are now much closer to the end than we were at the beginning.

Sharp Consultancy specialises in the recruitment and executive search of finance and accountancy professionals. With offices in Leeds and Sheffield our highly experienced team of consultants recruit for temporary, interim and permanent roles across the full spectrum of positions throughout Yorkshire and beyond. CONTACT US today and speak to a member of our team about your recruitment needs or next career move.